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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 2
Hatayspor

Szymanski (7'), Osayi-Samuel (15'), Dzeko (39'), Kahveci (63')
Becao (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Ghoulam (55'), Aabid (90+4')
Dele-Bashiru (20'), Kilama (61'), Bekaroglu (69'), Lamkel Ze (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Konyaspor
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Hatayspor

No side in Turkey appears capable of stopping Fenerbahce in their tracks currently, and another unbeaten start may go here with a routine home win. Hatayspor's start has been excellent, especially given the horrible circumstances surrounding the club over the past few months, and an expected defeat should not damage morale too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.71%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
86.71% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51) 9.05% (0.283 0.28) 4.24% (0.2249 0.22)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.66099999999999 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.07% (-0.262 -0.26)24.93% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.17% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)44.82% (0.347 0.35)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.21% (-0.116 -0.12)3.79% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.8% (-0.386 -0.39)16.2% (0.387 0.39)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.743 0.74)52.07% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.479 0.48)86.05% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 86.71%
    Hatayspor 4.24%
    Draw 9.05%
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
3-0 @ 11.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.43% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 6.17% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 6.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
5-1 @ 4.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 3.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.078 0.08)
6-1 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.046 0.05)
7-0 @ 1.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 86.71%
1-1 @ 4.22% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 1.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.05%
1-2 @ 1.38% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.29% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 4.24%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor

Fenerbahce
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Hatayspor
0.0%
24
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 5pm
Dec 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
Fenerbahce
4-0
Hatayspor
King (20'), Batshuayi (26'), Dursun (86'), Henrique (90+5')
Feb 20, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 26
Fenerbahce
2-0
Hatayspor
Dursun (67' pen., 81' pen.)

Ribeiro (17'), Temel (38')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 7
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Saint-Louis (70')
Biram Diouf (78'), Kamara (86')
Rossi (17'), Novak (29')
Hakan Yandas (44'), Pereira (45'), Novak (90+1')
Feb 2, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Boupendza (90')
Caytemel (38'), Ribeiro (50'), Santos (59'), Boupendza (89'), Erdogan (90+2')
Thiam (26'), Billong (88' og.)
Cisse (73'), Bayindir (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray15132042182441
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
5BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK157442821725
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor156362026-621
9KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
11KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
12SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
14GaziantepGaziantep155372024-418
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor153752322116
16KayserisporKayserispor153661527-1215
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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