

Galatasaray2 - 1Besiktas
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, October 28 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Galatasaray 2-1 Besiktas
After winning four of the last five home meetings with Besiktas, we think that Galatasaray will edge out their rivals to claim the derby bragging rights. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.
Result | ||
Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
43.27% (![]() | 24.14% (![]() | 32.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% (![]() | 42.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.12% (![]() | 64.88% (![]() |
Galatasaray Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.17% (![]() | 19.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.09% (![]() | 51.91% (![]() |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% (![]() | 25.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% (![]() | 60.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Galatasaray | Draw | Besiktas |
2-1 @ 9.02% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 11.15% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.59% |