Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.