Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.