Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hatayspor in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hatayspor.