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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Bahçelievler İl Özel İdare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
2 - 1
Kasimpasa

Ethemi (29'), Kaan Gultekin (78')
Yilmaz (49'), Sarikaya (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Petretta (25')
Tirpan (38'), Serbest (49'), Bruma (51'), Petretta (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Istanbulspor
Sunday, December 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-2 Sivasspor
Saturday, December 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbulspor 1-2 Kasimpasa

Although Kasimpasa are winless in their last six league games, they are unbeaten in their previous four away matches, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory over an Istanbulspor side who have lost their last seven games in the Super Lig. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawKasimpasa
33.22% (0.614 0.61) 24.75% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 42.03% (-0.706 -0.71)
Both teams to score 57.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (-0.228 -0.23)45.1% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55% (-0.219 -0.22)67.45% (0.218 0.22)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.26299999999999 0.26)26.17% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.354 0.35)61.25% (-0.354 -0.35)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.423 -0.42)21.49% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.654 -0.65)54.53% (0.654 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 33.22%
    Kasimpasa 42.03%
    Draw 24.75%
IstanbulsporDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Istanbulspor vs Kasimpasa

Istanbulspor
30.4%
Draw
30.4%
Kasimpasa
39.1%
23
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
2Fenerbahce1292133112229
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
11KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
12KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16Bodrumspor133281017-711
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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