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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Sivasspor
1 - 1
Istanbul

Duarte (37' og.)
Erdal (85'), Appindangoye (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Szysz (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sivasspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 2-0 Ankaragucu
Sunday, March 19 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Ankaragucu
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Sivasspor 0-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

 Sivasspor face a difficult match after not turning out for over three weeks and could be caught cold on Sunday evening in front of their home faithful. Basaksehir realise it is now or never for their top-three dreams, and we believe they will record a much-needed maximum on their travels in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
SivassporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
38.35% (0.137 0.14) 25.96% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 35.69% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.074999999999996 0.07)50.04% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.067 0.07)72.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.111 0.11)25.54% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.15 0.15)60.4% (-0.148 -0.15)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.05% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)62.42% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 38.35%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 35.69%
    Draw 25.96%
SivassporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.69%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Istanbul

Sivasspor
28.6%
Draw
21.4%
Istanbul Basaksehir
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2022 6pm
Istanbul
0-2
Sivasspor

Ndayishimiye (69')
Saba (45+2' pen., 85')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Sivasspor
0-2
Istanbul

Ciftci (38'), Oguz (66')
Goutas (3' og.), Turuc (60')
Tekdemir (28'), Caicara (54'), Epureanu (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Istanbul
2-1
Sivasspor
Gulbrandsen (17'), Tekdemir (24')
Ali Sahiner (43'), Cigerci (74'), Chadli (78'), Duarte (90+2'), Okaka (90+6')
Henrique (59' pen.)
Goutas (71'), Atakan Kesgin (89')
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
Sivasspor
0-0
Istanbul

Aleksic (45'), Cigerci (69')
Jan 16, 2021 1pm
Istanbul
1-1
Sivasspor
Aleksic (38')
Epureanu (20')
Arslan (42')
Yalcin (34'), Appindangoye (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
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