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Atletico Madrid logo
Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Athletic Bilbao logo

Atletico
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (Atletico Madrid to win 2-1 in extra-time)

 A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched sides, who could not be separated earlier this campaign, is set to be played out on Thursday with the tie potentially going beyond the 90 minutes. The two teams will almost be at full strength in Saudi Arabia; however, the return of Suarez and Gimenez for Atletico Madrid may give them the slight edge to advance to the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
50.85%27.99%21.16%
Both teams to score 39.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.81%64.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.68%83.32%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43%60.57%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.63%46.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18%82%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 50.84%
    Athletic Bilbao 21.16%
    Draw 27.99%
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 16.18%
2-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.46%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 3.84%
4-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 50.84%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 11.9%
2-2 @ 3.25%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Atletico vs Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid
76.4%
Draw
14.8%
Athletic Bilbao
8.8%
216
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')
Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Atletico
> Preview
Oct 26, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
> Preview
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