Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.