MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:01:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Schutzenwiese
Lugano

Winterthur
1 - 0
Lugano

Di Giusto (45')
Arnold (42'), Burkart (53'), Diaby (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bottani (18'), Espinoza (38')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Last Game: Young Boys 5-1 Winterthur
Sunday, January 29 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
41.1% (-0.217 -0.22) 23.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 35.08% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 61.83% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.28% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.07 -0.07)62.65% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)19.88% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (-0.206 -0.21)51.99% (0.204 0.2)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.072000000000003 0.07)22.83% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.108 0.11)56.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 41.1%
    Lugano 35.08%
    Draw 23.81%
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.08%

Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 3.30pm
Lugano
3-1
Winterthur
Celar (7', 15'), El Amine Amoura (89')
Arigoni (33')
Di Giusto (20')
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Winterthur
1-4
Lugano
Buess (11')
Diaby (48'), Ballet (76'), Goncalves (88'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Celar (20', 90+1'), Haile-Selassie (22'), Bottani (31')
Arigoni (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich147522215726
2Basel1481535152025
3LuganoLugano147432115625
4Servette147432321225
5Luzern146442622422
6St GallenSt Gallen145542519620
7Lausanne SportLausanne146262220220
8Sion144551818017
9Young Boys144461823-516
10Yverdon Sport144371525-1015
11FC WinterthurWinterthur143291031-2111
12Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper142391324-119
> Swiss Super League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!