MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:38:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
Basel

Lugano
1 - 0
Basel

Mahou (33')
Sabbatini (24'), Valenzuela (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lang (61'), Amdouni (62')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 1-0 Servette
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawBasel
28.43% (0.15 0.15) 24.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 47.5% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (-0.109 -0.11)44.21% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (-0.107 -0.11)66.59% (0.10499999999999 0.1)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.048000000000002 0.05)28.86% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.062000000000005 0.06)64.73% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.126 -0.13)18.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (-0.206 -0.21)50.14% (0.204 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 28.43%
    Basel 47.5%
    Draw 24.06%
LuganoDrawBasel
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.73% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.18% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 28.43%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.5%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
0-2
Lugano

Xhaka (32')
Babic (90+1'), Mahmoud (90+4')
Arigoni (4'), Daprela (42'), Valenzuela (87'), Saipi (90+2')
May 22, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
2-1
Lugano
Males (6'), Kasami (71')
Ndoye (30'), Pavlovic (34'), Kasami (72')
Kasami (74')
El Amine Amoura (27')
Ruegg (59'), Mahmoud (62')
Mahmoud (90+2')
Mar 6, 2022 1.15pm
Lugano
0-2
Basel

Hajrizi (12'), Lovric (16'), Daprela (72')
Chalov (9'), Males (90+3')
Stocker (33'), Lopez (40'), Chalov (53'), Xhaka (76')
Oct 24, 2021 3.30pm
Basel
2-0
Lugano
Frei (10'), Arthur (32')
Frei (64')
Sep 12, 2021 3.30pm
Lugano
1-1
Basel
Abubakar (59')
Bottani (7'), Maric (41'), Custodio (57'), Daprela (86')
Arthur (29')
Kasami (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich147522215726
2Basel1481535152025
3LuganoLugano147432115625
4Servette147432321225
5Luzern146442622422
6St GallenSt Gallen145542519620
7Lausanne SportLausanne146262220220
8Sion144551818017
9Young Boys144461823-516
10Yverdon Sport144371525-1015
11FC WinterthurWinterthur143291031-2111
12Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper142391324-119


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!