Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.