MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 06:58:24| >> :600:3419874:3419874:
Oliveirense
Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 22, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Carlos Osorio
Gil Vicente logo

UD Oliveirense
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Schutte (66')
Kazu (26'), Casimiro (83'), Schurrle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marlon (23')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between UD Oliveirense and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: UD Oliveirense 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
UD OliveirenseDrawGil Vicente
28.46% (-0.923 -0.92) 23.07% (0.335 0.34) 48.47% (0.593 0.59)
Both teams to score 61.33% (-1.896 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.43% (-2.207 -2.21)39.57% (2.211 2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.08% (-2.339 -2.34)61.92% (2.343 2.34)
UD Oliveirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-1.718 -1.72)26.47% (1.721 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-2.342 -2.34)61.66% (2.346 2.35)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)16.59% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-1.112 -1.11)46.4% (1.117 1.12)
Score Analysis
    UD Oliveirense 28.46%
    Gil Vicente 48.47%
    Draw 23.06%
UD OliveirenseDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.84% (0.317 0.32)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.46%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.438 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.638 0.64)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.435 0.44)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.177 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.47%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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