MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 19:57:06| >> :60:97:97:
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 11, 2022 at 11am UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Belenenses

Vilafranquense
0 - 0
Belenenses


Alaba (57'), Martins (90')
FT

Sambu (88'), Ramalho (90+4'), (90+4')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Vilafranquense and Belenenses.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Vilafranquense
Sunday, November 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Belenenses
Thursday, December 1 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Vilafranquense win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
VilafranquenseDrawBelenenses
23.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 25.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 50.74% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (0.062999999999995 0.06)55.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (0.052 0.05)76.69% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Vilafranquense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.1% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)75.82% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.057999999999993 0.06)21.93% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (0.088000000000001 0.09)55.21% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vilafranquense 23.37%
    Belenenses 50.73%
    Draw 25.89%
VilafranquenseDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.37%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.99% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 50.73%

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