Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.
