MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 17:32:13| >> :600:2756383:2756383:
Penafiel
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril

Penafiel
2 - 3
Lusitania

Suker Veiga Tavares (11'), Leite (58')
Aires Fernandes de Oliveira (13'), Pereira (50'), Ewerton (70'), Pedro Pradiante Silva (103'), Nuno Cabral Henriques (105')
Aires Fernandes de Oliveira (24')
FT
(aet)
Sidnei Ribeiro Leitao (2'), Bernardo do Rio (14' pen.), Cristian de Souza (114' pen.)
Alexandre Rente Azevedo (17'), Filipe Santos Amaral (27'), Ewerton (76'), Diogo Fontes (76'), Reko (90+5'), Nuno Cabral Henriques (112'), Cristian de Souza (115')
Alexandre Rente Azevedo (44')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Penafiel and Lusitania.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Penafiel
Saturday, August 3 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lusitania 1-4 Benfica
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Lusitania win it was 0-1 (7.49%).

Result
PenafielDrawLusitania
53.87% (-0.209 -0.21) 25.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 20.92% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (-0.181 -0.18)55.28% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.149 -0.15)76.5% (0.146 0.15)
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.157 -0.16)20.52% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.25 -0.25)53.02% (0.248 0.25)
Lusitania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)41.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (0.023 0.02)77.92% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Penafiel 53.86%
    Lusitania 20.92%
    Draw 25.2%
PenafielDrawLusitania
1-0 @ 13.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 53.86%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.92%

How you voted: Penafiel vs Lusitania

Penafiel
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Lusitania
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
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