MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:39:22| >> :600:5410013:5410013:
Penafiel
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2024 at 11am UK
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril

Penafiel
2 - 3
Lusitania

Suker Veiga Tavares (11'), Leite (58')
Aires Fernandes de Oliveira (13'), Pereira (50'), Ewerton (70'), Pedro Pradiante Silva (103'), Nuno Cabral Henriques (105')
Aires Fernandes de Oliveira (24')
FT
(aet)
Sidnei Ribeiro Leitao (2'), Bernardo do Rio (14' pen.), Cristian de Souza (114' pen.)
Alexandre Rente Azevedo (17'), Filipe Santos Amaral (27'), Ewerton (76'), Diogo Fontes (76'), Reko (90+5'), Nuno Cabral Henriques (112'), Cristian de Souza (115')
Alexandre Rente Azevedo (44')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Penafiel and Lusitania.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Penafiel
Saturday, August 3 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Last Game: Lusitania 1-4 Benfica
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Lusitania win it was 0-1 (7.49%).

Result
PenafielDrawLusitania
53.87% (-0.209 -0.21) 25.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 20.92% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.72% (-0.181 -0.18)55.28% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.149 -0.15)76.5% (0.146 0.15)
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.157 -0.16)20.52% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.25 -0.25)53.02% (0.248 0.25)
Lusitania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)41.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (0.023 0.02)77.92% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Penafiel 53.86%
    Lusitania 20.92%
    Draw 25.2%
PenafielDrawLusitania
1-0 @ 13.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 53.86%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.92%

How you voted: Penafiel vs Lusitania

Penafiel
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Lusitania
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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