Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (8.23%).