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Trophee des Champions | Final
Jul 31, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
4 - 0
Nantes

Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Trophee des Champions clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:
    Last Game: PSG 6-2 Gamba Osaka
    Monday, July 25 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

    Nantes

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
      Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

      We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-0 Nantes

       Losing such an influential attacking outlet in Kolo Muani is a bitter blow for Nantes, but similarly, PSG will have to find a way to stomp their attacking authority without Mbappe in the fold. Kombouare's side have demonstrated some impressive defensive resilience in pre-season, but Galtier's new-look side still possess the creative nous to break through and get their hands on the Trophee des Champions for the 11th time. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

      Result
      Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
      70.6% (1.842 1.84) 17.32% (-0.871 -0.87) 12.09% (-0.968 -0.97)
      Both teams to score 52.59% (0.146 0.15)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      62.64% (1.69 1.69)37.36% (-1.689 -1.69)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      40.42% (1.798 1.8)59.58% (-1.793 -1.79)
      Paris Saint-Germain Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      90.57% (0.89999999999999 0.9)9.43% (-0.895 -0.9)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      68.3% (2.073 2.07)31.7% (-2.072 -2.07)
      Nantes Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      58.07% (-0.417 -0.42)41.93% (0.42 0.42)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      21.62% (-0.363 -0.36)78.38% (0.367 0.37)
      Score Analysis
          Paris Saint-Germain 70.6%
          Nantes 12.09%
          Draw 17.32%
      Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
      2-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
      2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
      1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.395 -0.4)
      3-0 @ 8.68% (0.314 0.31)
      3-1 @ 7.54% (0.189 0.19)
      4-0 @ 5.12% (0.375 0.38)
      4-1 @ 4.45% (0.278 0.28)
      3-2 @ 3.28% (0.045 0.04)
      5-0 @ 2.42% (0.263 0.26)
      5-1 @ 2.1% (0.207 0.21)
      4-2 @ 1.94% (0.1 0.1)
      6-0 @ 0.95% (0.136 0.14)
      5-2 @ 0.91% (0.081 0.08)
      Other @ 3.27%
      Total : 70.6%
      		1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.441 -0.44)
      2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.106 -0.11)
      0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.332 -0.33)
      3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
      Other @ 0.13%
      Total : 17.32%
      		1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.235 -0.24)
      0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.331 -0.33)
      0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.164 -0.16)
      2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
      1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
      Other @ 1.4%
      Total : 12.09%

      How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

      Paris Saint-Germain
      93.3%
      Draw
      4.8%
      Nantes
      1.9%
      104
      Head to Head
      Feb 19, 2022 8pm
      Nantes
      3-1
      PSG
      Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
      Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
      Neymar (47')
      Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
      Nov 20, 2021 4pm
      PSG
      3-1
      Nantes
      Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
      Verratti (71')
      Navas (65')
      Kolo (76')
      Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
      Mar 14, 2021 8pm
      PSG
      1-2
      Nantes
      Draxler (42')
      Rafinha (48'), Verratti (67')
      Kolo (59'), Simon (71')
      Simon (45'), Traore (51')
      Oct 31, 2020 8pm
      Nantes
      0-3
      PSG

      Blas (32'), Coco (67')
      Herrera (47'), Mbappe (65' pen.), Sarabia (88')
      Dagba (80')
      Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
      Nantes
      1-2
      PSG
      Simon (68')
      Traore (85'), Coco (90')
      Icardi (29'), Kehrer (57')
      Verratti (36'), Meunier (76'), di Maria (90'), Kurzawa (90')
      rhs 2.0
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