Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Slovakia Under-19s had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 1-3 (5.25%). The likeliest Slovakia Under-19s win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.
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