Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina Under-20s win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Uzbekistan Under-20s had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Uzbekistan Under-20s win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina Under-20s would win this match.