MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:38:24| >> :60:72:72:
Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
May 31, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Brazil U20s
4 - 1
Tunisia U20s

Leonardo (11' pen.), Santos (31', 90+10'), Martins (90+1')
Leonardo (45+5'), Arthur (75'), Gomes (84')
Renan (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ghorbel (90+13')
Ghorbel (61'), Wael Derbali (76'), Dhaoui (82'), Chouchane (84'), El Djebali (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Brazil Under-20s and Tunisia Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil U20s 2-0 Nigeria U20s
Saturday, May 27 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Tunisia U20s 0-1 Uruguay U20s
Sunday, May 28 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: Brazil Under-20s 3-0 Tunisia Under-20s

Failing to score in four of their last five games does not bode well for Tunisia against one of the tournament favourites, and nor does the enforced absence of their captain, leaving Louhichi somewhat short in the middle of defence. Brazil did not exactly play Nigeria off the park last time out, but we cannot see Tunisia springing any surprises in La Plata and expect the South American champions to advance to the last eight with relative ease. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-20s win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tunisia Under-20s had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Tunisia Under-20s win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Brazil Under-20sDrawTunisia Under-20s
62.3% (0.499 0.5) 20.4% (-0.192 -0.19) 17.3% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.39% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.57% (0.337 0.34)40.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.2% (0.347 0.35)62.79% (-0.35 -0.35)
Brazil Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (0.245 0.25)12.43% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.64% (0.513 0.51)38.35% (-0.518 -0.52)
Tunisia Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.154 -0.15)36.74% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (-0.152 -0.15)73.52% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Brazil Under-20s 62.3%
    Tunisia Under-20s 17.3%
    Draw 20.4%
Brazil Under-20sDrawTunisia Under-20s
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.9% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 62.3%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 17.3%

How you voted: Brazil U20s vs Tunisia U20s

Brazil Under-20s
83.3%
Tunisia Under-20s
16.7%
18
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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