MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:30:35| >> :60:182:182:
Under-20s World Cup | Final
Jun 11, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Uruguay U20s
1 - 0
Italy U20s

Rodriguez (86')
Antoni (90+2'), Diaz (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guarino (33'), Ambrosino (47'), Prati (83'), Zanotti (90'), Lipani (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Uruguay Under-20s and Italy Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay Under-20s

Last Game: Uruguay U20s 1-0 Israel U20s
Thursday, June 8 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

Italy Under-20s

Last Game: Italy U20s 2-1 South Korea U20s
Thursday, June 8 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: Uruguay Under-20s 1-2 Italy Under-20s (a.e.t)

 With the greatest respect to Uruguay's previous opponents, Italy will present much more of a challenge to La Celeste's rearguard mettle, and England proved in the group stage that Broli's men can indeed be worn down. The Azzurrini's defending has been far from exemplary too, so extra time may be required to settle Sunday's final, where Nunziata's difference-makers such as Casadei and Pafundi can step up to propel Italy to their maiden Under-20 World Cup crown and inflict a third successive final defeat on the unfortunate Uruguayans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Uruguay Under-20s had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Uruguay Under-20sDrawItaly Under-20s
31.4%26.38%42.22%
Both teams to score 51.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31%52.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67%74.33%
Uruguay Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9%31.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58%67.42%
Italy Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.24%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay Under-20s 31.4%
    Italy Under-20s 42.22%
    Draw 26.38%
Uruguay Under-20sDrawItaly Under-20s
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.4%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 7.51%
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.22%

How you voted: Uruguay U20s vs Italy U20s

Uruguay Under-20s
37.5%
Italy Under-20s
62.5%
48
rhs 2.0
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