Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales Under-21s win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina Under-21s had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.