Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Turkey Under-21s had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Turkey Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for England Under-21s in this match.