Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova Under-21s win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina Under-21s had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.