Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 95.37%. A draw had a probability of 3.6% and a win for Hungary Under-21s had a probability of 1.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.01%) and 5-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.7%), while for a Hungary Under-21s win it was 0-1 (0.4%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands Under-21s would win this match.