Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia Under-21s win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Azerbaijan Under-21s had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Azerbaijan Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Slovakia Under-21s in this match.