Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Croatia Under-21s had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Croatia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (7.25%).