Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 40%. A win for Portugal Under-21s had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.