European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Rasundastadion
Sweden U21s3 - 0Italy U21s
Almqvist (12'), Karlsson (29'), Henriksson (51')
Henriksson (32'), Erlingmark (45'), Dahlberg (58'), Nygren (88')
Henriksson (32'), Erlingmark (45'), Dahlberg (58'), Nygren (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Sweden Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sweden Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 28.03% | 24.38% | 47.59% |
| Both teams to score 56.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.13% | 45.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% | 68.18% |
| Sweden Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% | 30% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.88% | 66.12% |
| Italy Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% | 19.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.83% | 51.16% |
| Score Analysis |
Sweden Under-21s 28.03%
Italy Under-21s 47.59%
Draw 24.38%
| Sweden Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 7% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.17% Total : 28.03% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 5.81% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-2 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 5.16% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.59% |
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2015 5pm
Group Stage
Italy U21s
1-2
Sweden U21s
Form Guide
