Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Obolon' Arena
Obolon2 - 4Luhansk
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Zorya Luhansk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Obolon 1-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Sunday, October 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Sunday, October 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Breidablik 0-1 Luhansk
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 28.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
Result | ||
Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
28.23% ( 0.01) | 28.33% ( 0.01) | 43.44% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.77% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.97% ( -0.03) | 61.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.99% ( -0.02) | 81.01% ( 0.02) |
Obolon Kyiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.1% ( -0) | 37.9% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.32% ( -0.01) | 74.67% ( 0.01) |
Zorya Luhansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.02) | 27.91% ( 0.03) |