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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Obolon' Arena

Obolon
2 - 4
Luhansk

Sukhanov (20', 28' pen.)
Prokopenko (25'), Dubko (41')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guerrero (5', 38'), Batagov (74'), Antyukh (88' pen.)
Aziangbe (24'), Batagov (72'), Jordan (77')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Obolon 1-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Sunday, October 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Breidablik 0-1 Luhansk
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 28.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Obolon KyivDrawZorya Luhansk
28.23% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 28.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 43.44% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.77% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.97% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)61.03% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.01% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Obolon Kyiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.67% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)27.91% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)63.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Obolon Kyiv 28.23%
    Zorya Luhansk 43.43%
    Draw 28.32%
Obolon KyivDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 13.49%
0-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 43.43%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev17134037112643
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya17115126121438
3Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar16103341152633
4Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi169432213931
5Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya177642416827
6Karpaty LvivKarpaty177372221124
7Rukh Lviv175842114723
8Zorya LuhanskLuhansk167181820-222
9Veres174761724-719
10LNZ CherkasyCherkasy175481826-819
11Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka173951112-118
12Vorskla PoltavaVorskla174491525-1016
13Livyi Bereh17449920-1116
14Obolon KyivObolon173591029-1914
15Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets1733111125-1412
16Inhulets161691231-199


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