Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.