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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
4 - 0
Plaza Colonia

Correa (5'), Villar (30'), Nunez (37'), Gianoli (74')
Lima (42'), Brasil (53'), Nunez (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Olivera (21')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, November 15 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-0 Liverpool
Tuesday, November 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
38.46% (-0.122 -0.12) 27.76% (0.148 0.15) 33.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.5% (-0.558 -0.56)57.5% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (-0.446 -0.45)78.29% (0.447 0.45)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.342 -0.34)28.99% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (-0.424 -0.42)64.89% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.303 -0.3)31.92% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-0.346 -0.35)68.37% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 38.45%
    Plaza Colonia 33.77%
    Draw 27.75%
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.26% (0.195 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.77%

How you voted: Cerro Largo vs Plaza Colonia

Cerro Largo
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Plaza Colonia
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Plaza Colonia
3-3
Cerro Largo
Brun (5'), Olivera (40' pen.), Ebere (86')
Mathias Bogado (52'), Brun (57'), Goyeni (78')
Ferrares (71', 90+1'), Villar (90')
Correa (29'), Ferrares (47'), Goyeni (77'), Villar (89')
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Plaza Colonia
2-0
Cerro Largo
Villalba (19'), Ebere (87')
Aug 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Plaza Colonia
2-0
Cerro Largo
Quintana (33' pen., 58')
Guirin (68'), Quintana (75'), Kidd (75'), Barrandeguy (82'), Fernandez (87')
Fernandez (87')

Garcia (23'), Correa (32'), (67')
Jun 20, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
1-0
Plaza Colonia
Villar (90+2')
Onetto (36'), Bentaberry (50')

Bahia (50'), Vitao (76')
Feb 18, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro Largo
0-5
Plaza Colonia

Martinez (79')
Rodriguez (40'), Mereles (48'), Bahia (69'), Dibble (85', 88')
Bahia (43'), Calleros (73'), Ayala (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol1512213252738
2NacionalNacional15113137112636
3Racing de MontevideoRacing157621610627
4Boston RiverBoston River158251915426
5DanubioDanubio15672147725
6Cerro Largo156451511422
7Defensor SportingDefensor155551717020
8Miramar Misiones154741115-419
9LiverpoolLiverpool154651516-118
10River PlateRiver Plate155371520-518
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers154561520-517
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154471219-716
13FenixFenix154291428-1414
14CerroCerro15267920-1112
15Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado1523101224-129
16ProgresoProgreso15159924-158
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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