Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor3 - 1Maldonado
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Defensor
Saturday, September 21 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, September 21 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Wanderers
Friday, September 20 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, September 20 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
48.57% ( -0.4) | 27.39% ( 0.19) | 24.04% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
