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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Mar 29, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel

Maldonado
1 - 2
Nacional

Tealde (70')
Sant'Anna (38'), Darias (45+1'), Gonzalez (80')
Darias (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergessio (36', 46')
Carballo (45+1'), Bergessio (63'), Ramirez (80'), Oliveros (89'), (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawNacional
23.48%25.17%51.35%
Both teams to score 49.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32%52.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68%74.32%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58%37.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8%74.2%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48%20.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98%53.01%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 23.48%
    Nacional 51.34%
    Draw 25.17%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-1 @ 5.88%
2-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.53%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 12.15%
0-2 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-3 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 51.34%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 2
Maldonado
1-2
Nacional
Tellechea (52')
Bergessio (68'), Vecino (72')
Oct 11, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
1-1
Maldonado
Carballo (52')
Suarez (40'), Bergessio (45+3'), Rodriguez (63')
Batista (38')
Pagano (40'), Agustin Sant'Anna Quintero (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1412203072338
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
4Defensor SportingDefensor1474328171125
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6LiverpoolLiverpool144642221118
7Racing de MontevideoRacing145361919018
8Cerro Largo145361516-118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers144371319-615
10Rampla JuniorsRampla144371425-1115
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado144281318-514
12CerroCerro143561625-914
13River PlateRiver Plate143471722-513
14FenixFenix143471116-513
15DanubioDanubio143471218-613
16Miramar Misiones142571825-711


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