Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 0Danubio
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerrito 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, October 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, October 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
68
Last Game: Danubio 3-0 Albion
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
54.09% ( -0.42) | 26.93% ( 0) | 18.97% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 39.63% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.03% ( 0.39) | 62.96% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.56% ( 0.28) | 82.44% ( -0.28) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0.01) | 23.63% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( -0.02) | 57.72% ( 0.02) |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.89% ( 0.73) | 48.11% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.69% ( 0.53) | 83.31% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional 54.08%
Danubio 18.97%
Draw 26.92%
Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
1-0 @ 16.4% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.97% |
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Danubio
0-1
Nacional
Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Nov 21, 2020 10.30pm
Nacional
0-2
Danubio
Labandeira (44'), Paiva (47')
Sosa (39'), Mendez (70')
Sosa (39'), Mendez (70')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-24 12:53:55
FT
Saints
0-34
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