MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:12:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jan 31, 2021 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Montevideo Wanderers

Nacional
2 - 1
Wanderers

Orihuela (24'), Carballo (47')
Orihuela (40'), (64')
Orihuela (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perez (8')
Barreto (25'), Araujo (37'), Bueno (81'), (90+4')
Araujo (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
37.96%28.17%33.88%
Both teams to score 47.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02%58.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.54%79.46%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97%30.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.85%66.15%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84%69.16%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 37.95%
    Montevideo Wanderers 33.87%
    Draw 28.17%
NacionalDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.78%
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2021 11pm
Nacional
0-0
Wanderers
Nacional win 4-1 on penalties
Trasante (78'), Orihuela (79')
Martinez (40'), Barreto (49')
Mar 8, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 3
Wanderers
2-2
Nacional
Barboza (41'), Acuna (88')
Acuna (7'), Barboza (27'), Izquierdo (45')
Bergessio (1'), Magallanes (24')
Jacquet (7'), Laborda (45'), Ocampo (66'), (90')
Jacquet (90')
Sep 20, 2019 12am
Wanderers
0-1
Nacional

Araujo (60'), Macaluso (62'), Albarracin (64'), Ginella (82'), Bueno (87')
Ocampo (10')
Corujo (25'), Rodriguez (64'), Carballo (69'), Cotugno (84')
Feb 26, 2019 11pm
Nacional
1-4
Wanderers
Rivero (11')
Castro (46')
Gonzalez (30'), Pastorini (34', 44'), Cabrera (82')
Andueza (16'), Pastorini (35'), Albarracin (45'), Barrandeguy (72')
Sep 15, 2018 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Wanderers
Bergessio (73')
Cotugno (69'), Castro (75'), Aguiar (76')
Albarracin (63'), Pastorini (66' pen., 84')
Colombino (37'), Riolfo (76'), Gularte (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional13102134102432
2PenarolPenarol1310212432132
3Boston RiverBoston River138231710726
4DanubioDanubio13661134924
5Racing de MontevideoRacing13562129321
6Defensor SportingDefensor135441714319
7Miramar Misiones134631113-218
8Cerro Largo134451010016
9River PlateRiver Plate134361418-415
10Rampla JuniorsRampla134361117-615
11FenixFenix134271223-1114
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers133461219-713
13LiverpoolLiverpool132651115-412
14CerroCerro13265816-812
15ProgresoProgreso13157717-108
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado130310722-153
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!