Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Sep 18, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol3 - 1Cerrito
Bentancourt (24' pen., 90+1' pen.), Busquets (58')
Bentancourt (33'), Rossi (45+3'), Busquets (57'), Alvarez (78')
Bentancourt (33'), Rossi (45+3'), Busquets (57'), Alvarez (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scarone (27')
Sosa (22'), Pimienta (51'), Soto (62'), Vega (71'), Martinez (80'), Gentilio (89'), Villoldo (90+2')
Sosa (22'), Pimienta (51'), Soto (62'), Vega (71'), Martinez (80'), Gentilio (89'), Villoldo (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerrito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | River Plate | 31 | 11 | 49 |
6 | Penarol | 30 | 9 | 49 |
7 | Defensor Sporting | 30 | 4 | 48 |
Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Fenix
Thursday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Montevideo City Torque | 30 | -12 | 27 |
15 | Rentistas | 31 | -19 | 24 |
16 | Cerrito | 30 | -45 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 66.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 11.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Cerrito |
66.76% ( -2.14) | 21.7% ( 0.87) | 11.53% ( 1.27) |
Both teams to score 37.42% ( 1.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.09% ( -0.26) | 56.91% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.18% ( -0.21) | 77.82% ( 0.21) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% ( -0.8) | 16.38% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.98% ( -1.47) | 46.02% ( 1.47) |
Cerrito Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.75% ( 2.26) | 55.25% ( -2.26) |