MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 00:22:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Sep 18, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 1
Cerrito

Bentancourt (24' pen., 90+1' pen.), Busquets (58')
Bentancourt (33'), Rossi (45+3'), Busquets (57'), Alvarez (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scarone (27')
Sosa (22'), Pimienta (51'), Soto (62'), Vega (71'), Martinez (80'), Gentilio (89'), Villoldo (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerrito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerrito

Last Six:
Last Game: Cerrito 0-2 Fenix
Thursday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 66.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 11.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawCerrito
66.76% (-2.141 -2.14) 21.7% (0.868 0.87) 11.53% (1.273 1.27)
Both teams to score 37.42% (1.546 1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.09% (-0.261 -0.26)56.91% (0.262 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (-0.209 -0.21)77.82% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)16.38% (0.801 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-1.469 -1.47)46.02% (1.469 1.47)
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.75% (2.257 2.26)55.25% (-2.255 -2.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.97% (1.293 1.29)88.03% (-1.293 -1.29)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 66.76%
    Cerrito 11.53%
    Draw 21.7%
PenarolDrawCerrito
1-0 @ 16.37% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 14.81% (-0.67 -0.67)
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.665 -0.67)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.04% (-0.421 -0.42)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 66.76%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.498 0.5)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.61% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.412 0.41)
1-2 @ 2.88% (0.332 0.33)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.222 0.22)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 11.53%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Cerrito
0-0
Penarol

Panzariello (85'), Vila (90+2')

Arias (45+2'), Ceppelini (90+3')
Nov 5, 2021 12.30am
Cerrito
1-3
Penarol
Silvera (1')
Amondarain (60'), Eiraldi (75')
Bentancourt (14', 17', 44')
Ramos (35'), Bentancourt (82')
Jul 12, 2021 12.30am
Penarol
2-0
Cerrito
Nahuelpan (47'), Kagelmacher (50')
Canobbio (43'), Musto (75')

Ferreira (34'), William Marcenaro Nieves (84')
rhs 2.0
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