Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
