Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.