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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
3 - 2
Cerro

Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
Kidd (20'), Trasante (77'), Busquets (83'), Pereira (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Cabral (39'), Ojeda (55'), Magallanes (58'), Lacoste (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Maldonado
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.64%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawCerro
41.64% (0.07 0.07) 30.9% (-0.026 -0.03) 27.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.06% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.94% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.45% (0.032 0.03)86.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.067999999999998 0.07)32.92% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.074999999999999 0.07)69.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)43.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)79.37% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 41.64%
    Cerro 27.46%
    Draw 30.89%
River PlateDrawCerro
1-0 @ 15.76%
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.64%
0-0 @ 14.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 30.89%
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
River Plate
1-2
Cerro
Gonzalez (28')
Quintana (35'), Arezo (54'), Olivera (90')
Cabrera (45+2'), Tancredi (56')
Gonzalez (16')
Feb 22, 2020 8pm
Cerro
0-0
River Plate

Paiva (32'), Brasil (66')
Gonzalez (86')

Ospitaleche (68'), Rodriguez (79'), Herrera (83'), Fernandez (84')
Oct 16, 2019 8pm
Cerro
3-2
River Plate
Viera (15'), Lopez (45' pen.), Acosta (79')
Gonzalez (33'), Lopez (65'), Nunez (74')
Gonzalez (48')
Rodriguez (26'), Alonso (50' pen.)
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
River Plate
2-1
Cerro
Plada (49'), Urruti (80')
Alonso (11'), Ospitaleche (35'), Ale (57')
Peraza (55')
Pellejero (11'), Brasil (16'), Alonso (58'), Roldan (74'), Tancredi (76'), Izquierdo (93')
Pellejero (82')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Cerro
4-2
River Plate
Lopez (10'), Zazpe (78'), Acevedo (86'), Acuna (91')
Izquierdo (5'), Zazpe (49'), Klein (54')
Nunez (50' og.), Manuel Olivera (69' pen.)
Ale (54'), Ospitaleche (75')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol1512213252738
2NacionalNacional15113137112636
3Racing de MontevideoRacing157621610627
4Boston RiverBoston River158251915426
5DanubioDanubio15672147725
6Cerro Largo156451511422
7Defensor SportingDefensor155551717020
8Miramar Misiones154741115-419
9LiverpoolLiverpool154651516-118
10River PlateRiver Plate155371520-518
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers154561520-517
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154471219-716
13FenixFenix154291428-1414
14CerroCerro15267920-1112
15Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado1523101224-129
16ProgresoProgreso15159924-158
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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