Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth0 - 2New Saints
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Newtown AFC | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | The New Saints |
19.64% ( 0.14) | 21.66% ( 0) | 58.69% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.6% ( 0.18) | 42.39% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.2% ( 0.18) | 64.79% ( -0.18) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( 0.24) | 35.34% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.89% ( 0.25) | 72.1% ( -0.26) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( 0.01) | 14.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.03) | 41.78% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town 19.64%
The New Saints 58.69%
Draw 21.66%
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.64% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 58.69% |
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
New Saints
4-1
Aberystwyth
Ebbe (4'), Draper (64', 84', 89')
Cieslewicz (30'), Holland (67')
Cieslewicz (30'), Holland (67')
Oct 16, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
2-2
New Saints
Falingo (63'), Davies (71')
Davies (45+1')
Davies (45+1')
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
Form Guide
