Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.