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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 3
Pen-y-Bont

Rees (45+1'), H (46')
Jones (59'), Lewis (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wood (64'), Reynolds (73'), Harling (79')
Yorwerth (76'), Davies (90+3')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 7-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Bala Town
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawPen-y-Bont
26.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 27.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 45.63% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.47% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)60.52% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)80.63% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)75.84% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 26.44%
    Pen-y-Bont 45.62%
    Draw 27.92%
Cardiff MUDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 13.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.14% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 45.62%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Cardiff MU
Reynolds (42'), Wood (89' pen.)
Absalom (90+8')
Lewis (90+6')
Price (88')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-3
Cardiff MU
Owen (60')
Chubb (10'), Jones (62'), Baker (77')
Craven (67')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Cardiff MU
Davies (63'), Harling (79')
Davies (11')
Evans (33'), Evans (43'), McCarthy (58')
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
3-2
Pen-y-Bont
Roscrow (36'), Evans (55' pen.), Owen (64')
Lang (89')
Wood (4'), Clutton (90')
Davies (52'), Clutton (70'), Reynolds (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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