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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
1 - 0
Airbus UK

Simmonds (74' pen.)
Simmonds (51'), Beaumont (70'), Garratt (85'), Hindle (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Peers (66'), Curran (70'), Dutton (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Flint Town
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawAirbus UK Broughton
41.04% (-0.224 -0.22) 24.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 34.11% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 57.85% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64% (-0.40499999999999 -0.4)45.36% (0.407 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3% (-0.391 -0.39)67.7% (0.39099999999999 0.39)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.285 -0.28)22.07% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58% (-0.429 -0.43)55.42% (0.429 0.43)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)25.76% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.16 -0.16)60.7% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 41.04%
    Airbus UK Broughton 34.11%
    Draw 24.85%
Flint Town UnitedDrawAirbus UK Broughton
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.11%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Airbus UK
1-3
Flint Town
Roberts (11')
Edwards (61')
Diau (64'), Simmonds (74'), Carroll (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest23127432131943
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2371153024632
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2375113328526
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2372142948-1923
4Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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