Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Pen-y-Bont3 - 2Haverfordwest
Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
Borge (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Jenkins (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Haverfordwest County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Flint Town United | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Pen-y-Bont | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bala Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
42.33% ( -0.01) | 24.95% ( -0) | 32.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
