MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:45:16| >> :600:568782:568782:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 18, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
3 - 0
Man City

Pina (44'), Bonmati (57'), Putellas (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Casparij (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Hammarby 0-3 Barcelona
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Everton 2-1 Man City
Sunday, December 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Barcelona Women 3-1 Manchester City Women

Man City may have won all five of their group games, but they will travel to Barcelona without a number of key players, and we think that their depleted squad could find it tough going against the European champions. With that in mind, we think that the hosts will do enough to win by a two-goal margin to leapfrog Man City in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 3-0 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawManchester City Women
74.41% (0.70500000000001 0.71) 13.94% (0.025 0.03) 11.64% (-0.73 -0.73)
Both teams to score 65.87% (-2.912 -2.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.01% (-2.183 -2.18)20.99% (2.185 2.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.51% (-3.122 -3.12)39.49% (3.123 3.12)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.14% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)4.86% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.44% (-1.118 -1.12)19.56% (1.12 1.12)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-2.785 -2.79)30.76% (2.786 2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-3.414 -3.41)67.03% (3.415 3.42)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 74.41%
    Manchester City Women 11.64%
    Draw 13.94%
Barcelona WomenDrawManchester City Women
3-1 @ 8.12% (0.153 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.352 0.35)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.635 0.64)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.786 0.79)
4-1 @ 6.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 5.21% (0.357 0.36)
3-2 @ 4.79% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-0 @ 4.52% (0.62 0.62)
5-1 @ 3.71% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 3.62% (-0.317 -0.32)
5-0 @ 3.15% (0.14 0.14)
5-2 @ 2.19% (-0.253 -0.25)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.111 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.59% (0.031 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
6-2 @ 1.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 74.41%
1-1 @ 5.33% (0.361 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-0 @ 1.5% (0.237 0.24)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 13.94%
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-1 @ 1.76% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 11.64%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Man City

Barcelona Women
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Manchester City Women
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Man City
2-0
Barcelona
Layzell (36'), Shaw (77')
Aleixandri (15')

Pilar Leon (31'), Graham Hansen (47')
Mar 31, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Man City
2-1
Barcelona
Beckie (20'), Mewis (68' pen.)
Kelly (40')
Lamina Oshoala (59')
Pereira (29')
Mar 24, 2021
11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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