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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
FC Bayern Campus

Bayern Munich
1 - 0
Arsenal Women

The Match

Match Report

A spirited Arsenal Women side have it all to do in North London next week as Bayern Munich Women edge the first leg of their Women's Champions League quarter-final 1-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-0 Benfica
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich Women win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Arsenal Women win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bayern Munich Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich Women.

Result
Bayern Munich WomenDrawArsenal Women
60.08% (-0.269 -0.27) 21.92% (0.305 0.31) 17.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.67% (-1.069 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-1.385 -1.39)46.03% (1.38 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (-1.324 -1.32)68.34% (1.319 1.32)
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (-0.544 -0.54)14.9% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (-1.042 -1.04)43.26% (1.038 1.04)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (-0.863 -0.86)39.28% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (-0.817 -0.82)75.98% (0.812 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich Women 60.08%
    Arsenal Women 17.99%
    Draw 21.92%
Bayern Munich WomenDrawArsenal Women
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.335 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.92%
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Women

Bayern Munich Women
71.4%
Draw
13.2%
Arsenal Women
15.4%
91
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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