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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 16, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
 

Roma
5 - 0
St Polten

Serturini (34'), Glionna (82', 88'), Giugliano (84', 86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zver (56'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Champions League clash between Roma Women and St Polten Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-2 Roma
Thursday, December 8 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: St Polten 1-1 Slavia Prague
Thursday, December 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Roma Women 3-1 St Polten Women

Although Roma had to work hard to come from two goals down to beat St Polten in Austria, we think with home advantage in their favour that the Italian side will be able to claim a comfortable victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma Women win with a probability of 89.41%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for St Polten Women had a probability of 2.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 4-0 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a St Polten Women win it was 0-1 (1.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma Women would win this match.

Result
Roma WomenDrawSt Polten Women
89.41%7.71%2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Both teams to score 38.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.34% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.05%
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.35% (0.0010000000000048 0)3.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.29%15.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
St Polten Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.49% (0.007000000000005 0.01)60.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.09% (0.0029000000000003 0)90.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 89.41%
    St Polten Women 2.87%
    Draw 7.71%
Roma WomenDrawSt Polten Women
3-0 @ 13.35%
2-0 @ 12.09%
4-0 @ 11.05%
5-0 @ 7.32%
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.71%
2-1 @ 6.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 5.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
6-0 @ 4.04%
5-1 @ 3.68%
6-1 @ 2.03%
7-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-1 @ 0.96%
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 89.41%
1-1 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 7.71%
0-1 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 2.87%

How you voted: Roma vs St Polten

Roma Women
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Polten Women
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2022 5.45pm
St Polten
3-4
Roma
Eder (30' pen.), Schumacher (47'), Mikolajova (89')
Fuchs (19')
Giugliano (75', 80'), Giacinti (77'), Lazaro (87')
rhs 2.0
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