Aston Villa0 - 6Chelsea Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League
We said: Aston Villa Women 1-3 Chelsea Women
Having found the net in three of their four games, Aston Villa will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet, but even if they trouble the scorers, we still believe that Chelsea will have the extra quality required to claim all three points on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 75.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
9.77% ( -0.09) | 15.2% ( -0.04) | 75.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
